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VOL 26 • ISSUE 10 • FEBRUARY 14, 2026

DEEP PRESS ANALYSIS

Daily Synthesis of Leading International Publications

TODAY IN FOCUS: Africa's Female Leaders, IBM's Quantum Bet, Trump's Peace Council, Agentic AI in Business, Crisis in Iran, and the Greenland Grab.

FORBES AFRICA

Female Leadership • Quantum Computing • Medical Tourism
The publication of the ranking of African female leaders demonstrates a strategic shift in continental capital towards the diversification of corporate governance. This trend points to the formation of new institutional structures where middle-aged executives play a pivotal role. For global investors, this is a signal that African markets are moving beyond traditional commodity sectors. The active promotion of women in fintech and biotechnology reduces regional operational risks by introducing sustainable business models. Local corporations are leveraging these talent pools to strengthen their positions amidst macroeconomic instability. The integration of such leaders into boards of directors contributes to improved ESG metrics, which is critical for attracting Western funding. The elite’s hidden motive lies in crafting a new image of the African economy, oriented towards innovation and transparency. Simultaneously, this creates an internal lobbying resource capable of competing with conservative political circles. Markets perceive this transformation as a marker of Africa's readiness to absorb venture capital. In the long term, the redistribution of corporate power will lead to a shift in consumer patterns. However, risks of market fragmentation due to uneven access to capital remain. Successful monetization of this trend will require multinational companies to adapt their M&A strategies.
IBM's aggressive investment in quantum computing reflects the corporation's ambition to monopolize the infrastructure of future financial markets. The technological strategy involves creating fault-tolerant modular systems by 2029, which will alter the balance of power in global cryptography. Partnerships with financial giants reveal a hidden motive: the primary application of quantum algorithms is aimed at optimizing the management of trillion-dollar portfolios. The ability to process complex variables provides an unprecedented advantage in institutional arbitrage. For global markets, this is a signal of the impending obsolescence of classical risk assessment models. The geopolitical aspect lies in achieving US technological sovereignty in ultra-fast computing in the face of Asian competition. Project risks are concentrated in the high probability of accumulating hardware errors requiring colossal costs to correct. Nevertheless, a transparent development roadmap attracts institutional clients who have already secured pre-orders. The success of this initiative will lead to a radical consolidation of cloud providers unable to offer quantum services. Investors should note the shift in emphasis in development sectors from software to new physical carriers. The transition of corporate leadership to long-term planning marks a departure from short-term marketing strategies. Ultimately, this shift will completely reshape the architecture of cybersecurity.
The development of the Nigerian healthcare system and the phenomenon of reverse medical tourism reflect an attempt to localize capital outflows. The reduction in spending on outbound medical tourism signals a redistribution of foreign exchange reserves within the country. The government's strategic logic lies in reducing pressure on the national currency by developing high-tech domestic infrastructure. Private clinics are beginning to compete with European institutions, attracting patients with speed of service and price advantages. The return of qualified doctors to their homeland reduces the region's critical dependence on foreign medical services. For investors, this opens a window of opportunity in the private medicine sector and associated pharmaceuticals. Foreign partners investing in this industry gain direct access to Africa's largest consumer market. However, structural risks remain due to unequal resource distribution and the inaccessibility of quality services for the majority. Isolated success stories in the elite segment mask the general vulnerability of the public system. At the same time, successful cases form a new investment climate, destroying the stereotype of the total failure of African institutions. The dynamics of this process depend directly on political stability and the protection of foreign investments. In the medium term, this trend could lead to the formation of a regional medical hub.
Africa's digital transformation is inextricably linked to the transition to renewable energy sources, forming a new metric of economic power. States investing in digital payment infrastructure demonstrate increased resilience during periods of macroeconomic shock. Moving away from cash settlements allows governments to legalize the shadow economy and radically increase the tax base. The hidden motive of global fintech corporations is to monopolize transaction flows on the developing continent. For markets, the development of reliable payment networks serves as an indicator of reduced sovereign risks and an improved business climate. The high cost of financing and fragmented basic infrastructure remain the main barriers for institutional investors. Geopolitically, control over Africa's digital currencies is becoming a battleground between Western tech giants and Chinese platforms. The implementation of real-time analytics allows corporations to forecast capital movement and minimize cash gaps. Expanding digital inclusion directly converts into job creation and export diversification. Governments use these innovations for the secure distribution of social payments, strengthening the political loyalty of the electorate. In the long term, the merger of green technologies and digital finance will create conditions for issuing African ESG bonds. Systemic risk lies in excessive dependence on foreign technology providers.
Attracting digital nomads by African states represents a strategic tool for the rapid injection of foreign currency into local economies. The introduction of specialized visa programs aims to stimulate consumer demand in the real estate and premium service sectors. For governments, this is an effective way to compensate for the deficit in traditional tourism flows and improve the countries' international image. The hidden motive lies in the attempt to create artificial innovation hubs through the concentration of highly skilled foreign specialists. This trend signals to investors the need to expand coworking infrastructure and reliable telecommunication networks. However, a massive influx of expats with high incomes carries serious risks of internal destabilization due to a sharp rise in the cost of living for the local population. The formation of closed economic enclaves increases social inequality and provokes electorate dissatisfaction. Tax breaks for non-residents often do not translate into real technology transfer or job creation for citizens. Global corporations use this mechanism to optimize their own tax costs, legalizing remote work from jurisdictions with soft compliance. In the medium term, this imbalance may force regulators to sharply tighten fiscal policy. Successful adaptation will require the strict integration of incoming capital into national development projects.

NEWSWEEK

Peace Council • Arctic • Fintech & AI
Donald Trump's initiative to create a "Peace Council" represents a direct institutional threat to the UN's monopoly on resolving global conflicts. This move is driven by Washington's desire to bypass bureaucratic hurdles and consensus mechanisms of traditional international structures. The strategic logic of the project lies in legitimizing sole US dominance through the status of permanent chairman. Engaging key Arab states forms an alternative bloc oriented towards pragmatic, rather than ideological, deals. For US allies, joining the Council becomes a tool for demonstrating loyalty and monetizing bilateral relations with the new administration. Europe's refusal to participate underscores the deepening rift in transatlantic unity and the isolation of old institutions. Geopolitical risks are maximal: the Council could be used as legitimate cover for aggressive coercive pressure on opponents. Russia's demand to allow the use of frozen assets to pay membership fees turns the platform into an instrument of financial blackmail. China's indecision testifies to a cautious anticipation of the outcome of the struggle for the redistribution of global security architecture. For markets, the fragmentation of international institutions signals rising unpredictability and a potential breakdown of established supply chains. The success of the Council depends on its ability to quickly freeze conflicts and convert this precedent into a global mandate. If the initiative fails, it will accelerate the degradation of global governance.
The integration of Chinese scientific expeditions onto Russian Arctic vessels marks a new stage in Beijing's commercial and military expansion in the region. Moscow's financial dependence forces it to monetize sovereign access to strategic northern routes. For China, gathering cartographic and geological data is critical for realizing the "Ice Silk Road" concept. The hidden motive of these studies is dual-use: civilian oceanography directly serves the interests of the PRC's military-industrial complex. Washington perceives this alliance as an existential threat, intensifying pressure on NATO countries to block Chinese presence. Paradoxically, aggressive US rhetoric strengthens China's position as a supposedly reliable and constructive partner for Northern Europe. Beijing's strategy is built on using multilateral platforms to bypass American sanctions and normalize its status. European Arctic states face an institutional dilemma: balancing between American security guarantees and Chinese investments. The inclusion of polar regions in the PRC's security doctrine signals to markets an impending struggle for control over logistics. Escalation risks increase as reconnaissance activity is masked as climate initiatives. In the medium term, this will inevitably lead to the militarization of the Arctic and a revision of shipping legal regimes.
The integration of artificial intelligence and unconventional marketing into the banking sector is becoming a key tool for restoring lost public trust. The use of show business figures reflects a deep crisis of legitimacy for classic financial institutions in the eyes of the new generation. Fintech corporations are deliberately dismantling conservative service standards to monopolize the youth audience. Implementing AI allows for a radical reduction in operating costs, which transforms into dumping credit offers. The hidden motive of such innovations lies in capturing user data by creating an emotional attachment to informal financial brands. For investors, this is a clear signal: bank survival now depends not on asset scale, but on the speed of adaptation to digital culture. Traditional banking management is losing the battle for consumer attention, leading to inevitable structural changes in the industry. Attempts by fintech to gamify financial services create new regulatory risks, requiring governments to revise consumer protection mechanisms. Aggressive client engagement using celebrities masks potential threats of mass indebtedness among the population. In the long term, blurring the lines between entertainment content and financial services will lead to a fundamental change in the architecture of consumer lending.
The resumption of large-scale terrorist attacks in western Nigeria demonstrates the critical inability of regional authorities to control the security of key economic zones. The escalation of violence by groups affiliated with the Islamic State directly threatens the investment climate of Africa's largest economy. Prompt intervention by a US military contingent exposes the strategic vulnerability of local armed forces and their dependence on external management. The hidden motive of the American presence is to prevent the creation of a terrorist enclave capable of destabilizing energy supplies from the Gulf of Guinea. For global commodity markets, these attacks are a signal to factor in a higher premium for geopolitical risk. Nigeria's institutional risks increase as radical structures take control of internal logistics and agrarian territories. External players are forced to increase spending on the physical security of their multinational corporations. The humanitarian catastrophe requires the immediate diversion of budgetary funds from development projects to the defense sector. Local elites may use the military threat to legitimize requests for increased international financial aid without strict auditing. In the long term, the failure to eliminate extremist strongholds will lead to accelerated capital flight.
The signing of a short-term funding package by the US President represents a classic example of tactical maneuvering amidst a domestic political crisis. Postponing the resolution of key immigration policy funding issues to Congress allows the White House to avoid direct responsibility for unpopular measures. For financial markets, this move temporarily removes the threat of a government collapse, reducing short-term volatility. However, the persistence of fundamental disagreements guarantees the regular resumption of budget battles and systemic uncertainty. The administration's hidden motive is to use the threat of a shutdown as a lever of constant pressure on lawmakers. The corporate sector, dependent on federal contracts, is forced to revise its hedging strategies due to permanent fiscal instability. Institutional risks are mounting: the systematic use of the budget as a political weapon undermines creditor confidence in debt obligations. A demonstrative compromise masks the deepening polarization of elites unable to forge a sustainable consensus on basic state functions. International investors view such precedents as evidence of the declining efficiency of the American governance model. In the long term, such tactical delays could lead to uncontrolled institutional paralysis at a critical moment for the economy.

OPEN SOURCE FOR YOU

Agentic AI • Quantum Algorithms • Zero Trust
The transition from generative to autonomous agentic artificial intelligence marks a fundamental shift in corporate automation strategies. Systems capable of independently planning and executing tasks pose a direct threat to traditional personnel management models. Forecasts regarding the reduction of middle management positions point to an impending radical restructuring of corporate operating expenses. Using open-source code in AI architecture lowers the entry barrier for business, breaking the monopoly of major tech giants. The hidden motive for integrating such tools lies in the desire to completely eliminate the human factor from routine processes to maximize profitability. For labor markets, this means the inevitable devaluation of standard cognitive skills and a rising premium for AI architecture design. The deployment of multi-agent systems forms unprecedented new challenges in corporate cybersecurity. Autonomous algorithms gaining direct access to databases require entirely new control protocols. Investors should focus on companies implementing a full stack of agentic AI solutions, as they will be the first to gain cost advantages. Scaling this technology will lead to a deep transformation of customer service and back-office operations.
The development of quantum algorithms represents an existential threat to the modern architecture of digital security. The potential for rapidly cracking standard encryption radically alters risk assessments for the entire financial and government sectors. The hidden geopolitical motive for investment in these technologies is to achieve absolute superiority in global cryptographic dominance. For corporations, mastering quantum search provides an exponential acceleration in processing unstructured data sets, unattainable for classical processors. Institutional investors are directing capital into this sector, realizing that leadership will ensure control over the economy of the next decade. Early adoption of these algorithms will devalue current intellectual property protection protocols and banking secrecy. Organizations need to urgently budget for the transition to post-quantum encryption standards to avoid catastrophic leaks. This creates colossal market demand for new security audit services and hardware infrastructure modernization. The technology race accelerates the fusion of fundamental physics and applied software, changing R&D strategies. In the future, the monopolization of quantum capacities by a narrow circle of players will lead to an insurmountable technological gap in the global market.
The implementation of Zero Trust architecture in continuous integration and deployment processes reflects a critical crisis of confidence in traditional security perimeters. Moving away from static passwords and access keys in favor of dynamic authentication is becoming a mandatory requirement for IT product survival. The hidden motive of corporations is to minimize reputational and financial losses from leaks caused by the negligence of their own staff. For investors, the transition to such standards is a key indicator of a company's operational maturity and the security of its intellectual property. Increasing attacks on software supply chains force regulators to tighten code audit requirements. Systems that automatically revoke access after task completion radically narrow the window of opportunity for cybercriminals and insiders. However, implementing Zero Trust requires massive initial investment in restructuring the entire corporate infrastructure. The cybersecurity market is responding to this trend with explosive growth in startups offering automated secret management solutions. Developer resistance to new strict regulations creates temporary risks of slowing down update releases. In the long term, Zero Trust architecture will become the baseline legal standard for software development contracts.
Delegating complex cognitive functions to artificial intelligence forms an unprecedented challenge to the concept of human productivity. Integrating AI into diagnostic and legal analysis systems testifies to the rapid displacement of humans from critical decision-making zones. Institutional risk lies in the imperceptible loss of intellectual and ethical control over key business processes. The ability of machines to learn ultra-fast becomes the main competitive advantage, before which traditional personnel development models pale. Algorithms that covertly shape consumer preferences de facto usurp the right of corporations to strategically manage mass behavior. For investors, this is a clear indicator: company capitalization now depends directly on the speed of integrating cognitive autonomous systems. Accelerating feedback loops in neural networks makes direct competition between humans and algorithms economically meaningless. The hidden motive of tech giants is to ensure the total dependence of global business on their predictive monopoly platforms. Such an architecture deprives the economy of traditional flexibility, locking it into rigid frameworks of mathematical profit optimization. Further development of this trend will provoke a deep crisis in the labor market and require a complete revision of capital valuation criteria.
The aggressive race of transnational corporations to achieve carbon neutrality is a hard financial strategy to monopolize markets. The implementation of cap-and-trade mechanisms turns environmental quotas into an independent, highly liquid exchange asset. The hidden motive of the giants is the preemptive capture of the carbon credit market, allowing them to dictate terms to less capitalized competitors. For small businesses, ignoring this trend means inevitable exclusion from global supply chains and rising borrowing costs. Emission reduction obligations create artificial demand for innovative solutions and green technologies subsidized by the state. Major players monetize their leadership status, attracting cheap capital from ESG funds and strengthening political lobbying. Markets receive a clear signal: future asset valuations will be heavily discounted based on the size of their carbon footprint. The transition to scientific climate goals deprives companies of room for maneuver, requiring real capital investment instead of declarations. Institutional investors use the agenda as a tool for aggressive redistribution of global capital in favor of the technology sector. In the long term, this will lead to the creation of new cross-border tax barriers and stronger geopolitical control over developing economies.

THE WEEK US

Congress • Epstein • Media Monopolies
The standoff in the US Congress over funding for immigration police exposes a critical crisis of governability within the American state. The attempt to block the budget in exchange for agency reform is a tool of harsh political blackmail ahead of elections. The unyielding stance of ICE leadership demonstrates the formation of autonomous power centers ignoring classic civilian control. Implementing warrantless search practices undermines basic constitutional guarantees, creating an institutional precedent for abuse. For financial markets, the threat of a shutdown signals growing political instability capable of paralyzing government procurement. The lack of transparency in incident investigations increases societal polarization and reduces federal authority legitimacy. The conservatives' hidden motive is to consolidate the radical electorate by demonstrating a hardline stance on migration. The budget protection of ICE itself reveals a structural imbalance in state resource allocation priorities. Paralysis of adjacent agencies will cause direct logistical damage to the corporate sector and transport security. This institutional conflict threatens to turn into a prolonged war of attrition, destroying the architecture of checks and balances. Ultimately, investors will be forced to price in a higher premium for domestic political risk in the US.
Escalating political pressure around the "Epstein files" is being used as a powerful lever for redistributing influence among Washington elites. Concealing the names of high-ranking figures by law enforcement openly testifies to systemic institutional collusion within the establishment. Demands for the resignation of key ministers are aimed at destabilizing the administration's economic bloc at a critical moment for markets. Manipulations with documents mentioning international investors turn these archives into an ideal tool for geopolitical blackmail. For global markets, compromising donors from both parties implies the potential disruption of major government contracts and investments. The legislators' hidden motive is to maximally weaken the White House through methodical discrediting of its inner circle. The contrast between resignations in Europe and the immunity of the American plutocracy destroys public trust in the judicial system. The scandal creates an unpredictable toxic environment for mergers and acquisitions, where reputational risks for investors soar to the maximum. Protecting accused officials by the administration sends a signal to elites about security guarantees in exchange for absolute loyalty. In the medium term, this crisis could provoke a large-scale purge of corporate boards worldwide.
The politicization of the Winter Olympics by the US administration transforms international sport into a domestic instrument of ideological mobilization. Harsh public criticism of its own athletes breaks the traditional consensus on depoliticizing sporting achievements on the global stage. The hidden motive of such statements lies in artificially fueling the sociocultural rift to rally a loyal electorate. For multinational brands and sponsors, this rhetoric creates unprecedented reputational risks threatening large-scale boycotts. Using international platforms to settle scores with dissenting athletes discredits the institutional image of the US. Pressure on athletes shifts the media focus from global competition to internal American culture wars, lowering broadcast capitalization. Athletes become hostages of political manipulation, negatively impacting their market value and advertising contracts. The strict demand for unconditional loyalty from the state apparatus conflicts with basic rights to free speech. Corporate sponsors are forced to urgently revise risk management strategies when signing contracts with Olympians. In the long term, this threatens an outflow of private investment from reserve support programs and a revision of national representation formats.
Mass layoffs and a shift in editorial policy at a major publication testify to the capitulation of media corporations before the new political reality. Justifying layoffs with financial losses is merely a pragmatic pretext for eliminating an ideologically inconvenient resource. The owner's hidden motive is crystal clear: purchasing loyalty from the current administration in exchange for the unimpeded expansion of the main business empire. For markets, this is a clear signal that big capital will sacrifice media assets to protect government contracts. Artificially shifting content to the right destroys the independent institution of democratic oversight and forms an information monopoly. Institutional risk lies in the destruction of accountability mechanisms for state structures before society. The sharp outflow of paid subscribers demonstrates the economic vulnerability of a model that neglects the audience in favor of political ambitions. Such a transformation of major newspapers opens a niche for independent projects, but deprives them of critical financial leverage. The reversal of the publication's policy proves that billionaires are not interested in sponsoring opposition institutions under authoritarian pressure. Ultimately, this incident marks the final subordination of journalism to the interests of global corporate lobbying.
The decision by a historically black university to ban the use of the word "black" in materials exposes a radical restructuring of educational institutions. This step is driven by direct political pressure from state authorities ruthlessly rooting out social justice programs (DEI). For the public sector, this is a signal of the academic elite's total capitulation to financial blackmail by the executive branch. The politicians' hidden motive lies in an ideological purge of the educational environment for the unrivaled consolidation of the conservative electorate. Institutional risks are rising rapidly: the politicization of terminology paralyzes research processes and reduces personnel competitiveness. The corporate sector is forced to revise hiring and sponsorship strategies to distance itself from toxic domestic political battles. Eliminating diversity initiatives will inevitably lead to a brain drain, depriving the regional economy of valuable human capital. Aggressively enforcing ideological uniformity destroys the historical brand of American higher education on the global market. Such censorship forms legal chaos, creating grounds for continuous lawsuits and the loss of federal grants. In the long term, administrative restrictions will catalyze the outflow of intellectual capital to jurisdictions with a more liberal climate.

TIME

Geopolitics • Iran • Chinese Society
US intentions to acquire Greenland reflect a global restructuring of American influence architecture and a rejection of traditional alliances. At the core of this idea is the desire to guarantee military-strategic dominance in the Arctic amidst expansion by Asian and Russian players. The institutional risk for Europe is that Washington no longer considers ally sovereignty sacrosanct. The White House's hidden motive is to gain control over the island's colossal mineral resources and create a foothold for new missile defense systems. Using economic blackmail against a NATO ally destabilizes bloc unity and European sovereign debt markets. Sudden undiplomatic visits demonstrate an aggressive pressure tactic bypassing classic bureaucratic negotiation mechanisms. For investors in the resource sector, the transfer of control over Greenland would open unprecedented prospects for developing the pristine Arctic shelf. The reaction of European states testifies to the beginning of a new hidden arms race among Western partners. The appointment of special envoys and the formation of framework agreements point to a transition from political bluffing to methodical acquisition. This case marks the definitive transition of global politics from consensus diplomacy to aggressive transactional imperialism.
The brutal suppression of mass protests in Iran, accompanied by an information blockade, reveals the final stage of the regime's legitimacy exhaustion. Large-scale violence serves as an indicator of the elites' existential fear of losing control over a rapidly impoverishing population. The authorities' hidden motive lies in a total cleansing of the public space to prevent the collapse of the theocratic governance system. For global energy markets, the freefall of the Iranian economy raises the risk of sudden disruptions in regional oil supplies. The lack of real intervention by Western powers proves the pragmatism of the foreign policy game for the sake of a potential new nuclear deal. Institutional paralysis is exacerbated by treasury depletion, corruption, and fictitious privatization that has destroyed the country's national wealth. The emergence of a new generation oriented towards globalization definitively destroys the myth of the nation's monolithic ideological unity. Structural changes indicate that state terror no longer translates into long-term political stability. Growing distrust of the security bloc within the regime itself creates ideal conditions for sudden internal elite fragmentation. In the medium term, this crisis is capable of reshaping the entire geopolitical architecture of the Middle East.
The mass rejection of traditional values of marriage and homeownership by Chinese youth marks the deepest structural shift in the PRC's economy. Slowing job growth, wage stagnation, and the real estate crisis force entire generations to revise consumer patterns. The redistribution of spending towards micro-luxury and hobbies is a pragmatic adaptation to the unavailability of long-term financial planning. The hidden motive of this social escapism is passive resistance to rigid corporate and state demands for hyper-productivity. For investors, the phenomenon of single households signals explosive growth in service markets, delivery, and entertainment digital content. The traditional construction sector and durable goods manufacturing face an irreversible drop in domestic demand. Geopolitically, this weakens the foundation of Chinese power, as the rapid decline in birth rates undermines global dominance ambitions. Institutional risks grow as the patriarchal structure, historically the main pillar of regime stability, erodes. The atomization of urbanized society strengthens the population's dependence on platforms, exponentially increasing the capitalization of IT giants. The state will have to urgently implement new social stimulus programs to avoid a collapse in domestic consumption.
The rapid expansion of smart toys with artificial intelligence reveals the critical unpreparedness of global regulators for new types of technological threats. The commercialization of products that form emotional attachments in children aims to maximize quick profit without regard for social consequences. The hidden motive of corporations is the unimpeded collection of colossal volumes of audio data for training neural networks and early consumer profiling. This forms unprecedented risks in cybersecurity, making an entire generation vulnerable to unauthorized digital surveillance. For investors, this fast-growing segment represents a high-yield but extremely toxic legal zone. The lack of strict algorithm testing standards will inevitably lead to massive class-action lawsuits and product recalls. The dependence of smart toy manufacturers on base models from third-party IT giants demonstrates the fragility of their operational business models. Governments will have to urgently develop restrictive legislation, sharply increasing costs for tech startups. Society's strategic vulnerability increases as algorithmic upbringing creates unpredictable long-term consequences for cognitive development. In the future, this conflict will provoke market redistribution in favor of monopolies capable of affording expensive security certification.
The forced closure of a major cultural center illustrates the process of aggressively dismantling traditional state institutions by the executive power. Unilateral decisions on reorganizing quasi-state structures aim at total subordination of the cultural space to the interests of the political leadership. The hidden motive lies in symbolically destroying the legacy of previous elites and redirecting financial flows to loyal projects. The boycott of the venue by leading figures testifies to an acute crisis of legitimacy for the authorities within the creative and influential media classes. The institutional risk of such manual management lies in the rapid loss of private funding and the destruction of endowment funds. For the business community, this is a signal that the status of autonomous non-profit organizations no longer protects against politically motivated liquidations. A sharp drop in revenue demonstrates the economic failure of attempts to impose strict ideological control over the service market. Major donors are forced to urgently restructure their donation portfolios, avoiding investments in toxic state assets. This incident sets a dangerous precedent allowing the destruction of any independent consortium bypassing the legislative branch. In the long term, such a policy will lead to irreversible fragmentation of the industry and the isolation of capital from international projects.

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